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Judgement & Decision-making
Experimental pragmatics, risk communication, and reasoning
This research programme focuses on the pragmatic processes involved in communicating uncertainties, quantities and in logical reasoning.
Can membership-functions capture the directionality of verbal probabilities?
Verbal probabilities are a common mean for communicating risk and uncertainties in many decision-making settings (e.g., finance, …
Marie Juanchich
,
Miroslav Sirota
,
Tzur M. Karelitz
,
Gaëlle Villejoubert
PDF
Project
DOI
When do we believe experts? The power of the unorthodox view
This paper examines the extent to which orthodoxy (degree of typicality) and congruence (degree of similarity with own opinion) mediate …
Laurence Alison
,
Louise Almond
,
Paul Christiansen
,
Sara Waring
,
Nicola Power
,
Gaëlle Villejoubert
PDF
Project
DOI
Constructing Preferences in the Physical World: A Distributed-Cognition Perspective on Preferences and Risky Choices
Psychological research has firmly established that risk preferences are transient states shaped by past experiences, current knowledge, …
Gaëlle Villejoubert
,
Frédéric Vallée-Tourangeau
PDF
Project
DOI
Reports of wins and risk taking: An investigation of the mediating effect of the illusion of control
Two experiments examined the relationships between the knowledge that another person has won in a gamble, the illusion of control and …
Frédéric Martinez
,
Valérie Le Floch
,
Bernard Gaffié
,
Gaëlle Villejoubert
Project
DOI
The Psychology of risk management
A better understanding of how human factors may shape risk perception and risk taking is key to improve investment performance. This …
Gaëlle Villejoubert
,
Frédéric Vallée-Tourangeau
Preprint
Project
Is guilt ‘likely’ or ‘not certain’?: Contrast with previous probabilities determines choice of verbal terms
This research focuses on what determines speakers’ choice of positive and negative probability phrases (e.g., “a chance” vs. “not …
Marie Juanchich
,
Karl Teigen
,
Gaëlle Villejoubert
Project
DOI
Are representativeness judgments automatic and rapid? The effect of time pressure on the conjunction fallacy
This study aimed to better understand the cognitive underpinnings of people’s intuitions concerning the conjunction rule of …
Gaëlle Villejoubert
PDF
Project
Interpreting claims in offender profiles: the role of probability phrases, base‐rates and perceived dangerousness
Offender profilers use verbal and numerical probability expressions to convey uncertainty surrounding claims made about …
Gaëlle Villejoubert
,
Louise Almond
,
Laurence Alison
Project
DOI
What lies beneath: Reframing framing effects
Decision framing concerns how individuals build internal representations of problems and how these determine the choices that they …
John Maule
,
Gaëlle Villejoubert
Project
DOI
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