Bayesian reasoning

Interactivity fosters Bayesian reasoning without instruction
Successful statistical reasoning emerges from a dynamic system including: a cognitive agent, material artifacts with their actions …
Gaëlle Vallée-Tourangeau, Marlène Abadie, Frédéric Vallée-Tourangeau
Preprint Dataset Project DOI
The inverse fallacy: An account of deviations from Bayes's theorem and the additivity principle
In judging posterior probabilities, people often answer with the inverse conditional probability—a tendency named theinverse fallacy. …
Gaëlle Villejoubert, David R. Mandel
PDF Project DOI